Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.173058 0.208601 0.246846 0.290760 0.339502 0.391667 0.451443
2025-02-16 0.119049 0.164979 0.218621 0.284656 0.362558 0.450421 0.555900
2025-02-23 0.081032 0.130489 0.193317 0.275932 0.378811 0.500066 0.651158
2025-03-02 0.051459 0.098951 0.165224 0.258497 0.380892 0.531112 0.724568
2025-03-09 0.036354 0.083069 0.154116 0.260037 0.404971 0.588459 0.830595
2025-03-16 0.023475 0.066298 0.138205 0.252184 0.414881 0.627162 0.913830
2025-03-23 0.017892 0.060277 0.137160 0.264570 0.451846 0.701196 1.043056
2025-03-30 0.011900 0.050782 0.128446 0.264012 0.469931 0.750225 1.140786
2025-04-06 0.007802 0.043294 0.121508 0.264924 0.489369 0.800913 1.241165
2025-04-13 0.005366 0.038617 0.118704 0.271798 0.517290 0.863393 1.357908
2025-04-20 0.003736 0.035193 0.117588 0.281039 0.548695 0.931047 1.482410
2025-04-27 0.002469 0.031830 0.115839 0.288746 0.577684 0.995630 1.603559
2025-05-04 0.001207 0.026428 0.108488 0.286066 0.590828 1.038832 1.697707
2025-05-11 0.000623 0.023403 0.105992 0.291894 0.617466 1.101848 1.820026
2025-05-18 0.000201 0.019386 0.099789 0.289918 0.631158 1.146162 1.917064
2025-05-25 0.000010 0.014170 0.088195 0.275786 0.623758 1.158879 1.969860
2025-06-01 NaN 0.012208 0.085663 0.279671 0.646427 1.216432 2.086237
2025-06-08 NaN 0.009283 0.078482 0.272735 0.649985 1.245027 2.161707
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008915 0.080697 0.286547 0.690004 1.329542 2.317892
2025-06-22 NaN 0.007259 0.076927 0.286413 0.705254 1.376285 2.420323
2025-06-29 NaN 0.005961 0.073930 0.287638 0.722771 1.426620 2.528339
2025-07-06 NaN 0.005291 0.073578 0.295047 0.751575 1.494792 2.662806
2025-07-13 NaN 0.004855 0.074234 0.304887 0.784976 1.570466 2.808757